Recent content by Kialoa

El Cap delivered in MA… El Cap, BM interior, LE, 20” A/T - delivered 3/19 So far amazing both on- and off-road.

Was 5 days for me. May have been longer than usual because Service Center in MA is not yet completed. Truck is coming from NY Service Center.

Jan/Feb Delivery Actually Happening…! My Rivian Guide just reached out to let me know my R1T is ready for delivery process. A few hours later I received a ‘Preliminary Buyers Agreement’ by email. Could this really be happening?

The latest I heard I am still a scheduled Jan/Feb delivery. In my last contact call he let it slip that it was ‘towards the end of Feb’. But no other prep/contact calls so far…

FYI - by far the slowest and most labor-intensive step in analyzing this data is the QC involved in curating this database. When you consider all the fields captured - there are more than 10,000 data points. In the version I looked at there were numerous ‘impossible’ combinations, missing...

May take me a bit to get back to this - Omicron response plans are going to keep me busy for the next few days :(

One of the many assumptions I had to build in. I scaled this based on the order date, assuming the data we have are a normal distribution - which it is not. So those that ordered earliest I put near the beginning of the relevant delivery window, and those that ordered latest near the end of...

Since the last Fig was readable - thought I'd share the estimated impact of the interior color selection. The Black Mtn data is not shown again (was on last Fig) - and is only indicated by black line here. Forest Edge data is in Green with Red Text - clearly right-shifted (delayed). On closer...

Started looking at the data in the spreadsheet a bit more closely. While there is data that seems to have errors attached (LE AND MaxPack), some duplicates, and some dates typed incorrectly, there is enough to extract trends. I tried to remove most of the suspect entries and made a series of...

Craigins - finally have a bit of time to explore this data-set. Very impressive compilation and analysis. Just wondering - does the spreadsheet get auto-updated as new information is submitted? I can only see 5 'Earlier' (Jan-Feb) entries, although the thread header summary indicates there...

Screenshot below:

Although I received a RG call a few weeks ago indicating my estimated delivery date was Feb ‘22 I did also receive the Official email today indicating Jan-Feb ‘22. Do I dare hope…?

A Non-linear Production Ramp Model: Given that we have almost no data to work with any model created is... problematic. Nevertheless - I could not resist to do a 'what if'... IF - we assume they are currently at 104 Trucks/week, and IF we assume they can increase the percent production most at...

Based on a recent call with my Rivian Guide - they ARE ramping production. It seems the initial ramp is slower than expected (hockey stick model), but is ramping. If what the guide saw on Saturday (16 R1Ts being readied for delivery) - then maybe they are now at 16/day? Also, I suspect they...

I got the sense that no external customer will get a truck that does not meet their QC standards. The few external deliveries that are going out before DEC are either ‘beta testers’ getting something in return - or will receive a truck that does meet all QC tests. Again, I was reading between...