RJ and CFO keep repeating 30% cost saving from Q2 shut down + 10% saved from salaries. Some math:
Cash burn is around 5bn, 30% of that is $1.5
2024 starting cash is 10bn
2024 ending should be 10 - (5-1.5) = 6.5
2025 starting cash should 6.5
2025 ending should be 6.5 - (5-1.5) = 2.5
assuming...
I think they will miss the 57k target!
- they said Q1 will 10% to 15% lower, let’s assume 15k cars produced
- Q2 and Q3 very slow because of the shutdown ( let’s assume 10k) it seems then they need to produce 35K in Q4, is that possible ?
It seems to me that most people agree that Rivian has great products but is ran inefficiently. RJ would be a great CTO or chief engineer but not as a CEO, he is not the crazy genius type like Elon, Zuckerberg, Jensen nor the corporate guy.
Very disappointing to see the guidance, I didn’t care much about revenue and earnings but I expected much better from guidance. I truly hope this is a tactic from management to be very conservative and it’s not the most likely output. Expecting negative sales growth for a growing company is a...