R2 for a leasing noob

[Jeremy3292]

Personally can't imagine R2 gets an overhaul before 2030 at the earliest. They made a conscious choice to not go 800v. They won't turn around next year and go 800v. GA factory has to be fully online, R2 fully ramped, and R3 fully in production as well before they even considered a major change IMO. Also 2030 puts it in line with a 3-4 year lifecycle refresh. They may introduce newer cells at some point before then, but that would be minor changes not an overhaul to the architecture. I will be waiting til EOY for premium trim and LIDAR anyways.

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[Gen(R3)Xer]

We currently have an R1T and Tesla M3. My wife and I are both excited about the R2 but the car we really want is the R3X. Our plan has been to sell the M3 and lease an R2 while we wait. I know next to nothing about leasing a car. Does this make sense?


FWIW - We got our R1T in June of '22 and live very close to the Chicago service center. Based on the newly live Configurator I think we will be OK with a Performance in Esker Silver or Launch Green. I'm guessing we may come up fairly early in the R2 cue.

I also want an R3X, but am considering an R2. I put a deposit down in November of 2025 and my Tesla Model 3 lease isn’t up until the end of 2027. I’m not sure where that leaves me. I don’t want to pay much more than my Model 3 lease, so I might be leaning toward the R2 Standard trim.

Do you think the R3X will actually come out in 2028 and what do you think it will cost? I think maybe it will get bumped due to the ramp up of the R2 into late 2027 and the slow build out of the Georgia plant. If the R2 is making Rivian money I think they’ll double down on that and focus on variants, like an R2X (tri-motor). It would require less tooling and changeover, even though the R3 shares the same skateboard chassis as the R2.

 

[Jeremy3292]

I also want an R3X, but am considering an R2. I put a deposit down in November of 2025 and my Tesla Model 3 lease isn’t up until the end of 2027. I’m not sure where that leaves me. I don’t want to pay much more than my Model 3 lease, so I might be leaning toward the R2 Standard trim.

Do you think the R3X will actually come out in 2028 and what do you think it will cost? I think maybe it will get bumped due to the ramp up of the R2 into late 2027 and the slow build out of the Georgia plant. If the R2 is making Rivian money I think they’ll double down on that and focus on variants, like an R2X (tri-motor). It would require less tooling and changeover, even though the R3 shares the same skateboard chassis as the R2.

Personally wouldn’t count on seeing an R3 in any real capacity til end of 2028, if we’re lucky. Might be 2029 before people really start to get them.

 

[drivejoule]

this and last month, most rivian's leased between 1.4-1.6% MSRP/mo. thus my guess for the $58k launch model is $810-$930/mo. if there's a big incentive to deliver units in June/end of Q2, then maybe closer to the base or lower. if actual deliveries wouldn't happen until Q3, then closer to the upper end.

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