the long way downunder
Well-Known Member
Spot on. This is the first price increase as Rivian gauges the market demand and adjusts its price points in line with competitors (Tesla has made larger percentage increases in the 6-12 months.)This seemed pretty inevitable. If you knew anything about Rivian pre 2021 you knew they were at best walking a thin line between being the next Tesla and being the next Fisker. This was fairly predictable given the basic economics for EVs and the raw cost calculations that you could have easily done on the R1T/S. The thing has a huge battery pack that’s around 30% larger than a Model S/X and priced 20% less?? ADD ON up to 50%+ raw inputs inflation etc and you have what, only a 15% price jump?
They obviously could not have anticipated raw material costs skyrocketing like they have in 2020-2022 and this seems like a difficult decision that was probably in the works for many months. I’ve been saying all along they had negative margins with their supposed pricing and this was just proof. So if they’re acknowledging reality then they’re not stupid and are doing their best to turn things around. If they can repair their brand and scale then they might survive.
For similar money (ie $75k + $10k ADM (if you’re lucky) you can buy a Bronco Raptor that is slower and uses gas, for more money you can get a Defender V8 that is also slower and uses gas, etc. etc. It’s definitely a bait and switch so I get the outrage but at the end of the day it’s still pretty cheap compared to the competition.
$85k for a quad motor spec gets you 0-60 times in the neighborhood of $150k+ supercars and the off road capability of a Defender? There are people who pay $275k+ for G wagens and $150k for Porsche Taycan crossovers. If you’re a launch edition reservation holder you should just sell your reservation rather than cancel it because you probably still have $15k in arbitrage. The first Bronco sold for almost $200k and First Edition Broncos are being purchased by dealers at auction for $80k+ aka $15k over MSRP.
There’s a lot of overreacting here. Some people here don’t understand money at all and basically just threw away a bunch of it by cancelling their very early reservation (because they are (justifiably) pissed off). Even if you couldn’t afford the Rivian at the new price maybe you could still make enough flipping it to give yourself $10k-$15k off another vehicle of your choice. It’s still a winning proposition if you understood the basic numbers…
Rivian is a premium priced vehicle, not competing with GM or Ford, more like the luxury lifestyle statement of a $200K Porsche or G-wagon.
A pre-order build for '22 or '23 is quite possibly a great arb opportunity and at least some fun.
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