R2 Orders / VIN / Deliveries List Tracker + Stats 📊

[Eric9610]

What's surprising is that the order of what is being delivered is backwards compared to popularity.

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[lmr]

Ok mister legal eagle, at least we will get an invite to order and get a delivery date. It's either that or Rivian's roll out of the R2 is FoS.

If Rivian follows what they did the first time around with the launch of the R1T and R1S then everyone who hasn't been invited to order yet will get a general timeframe for when Rivian estimates that those reservations will be invited to order (ex: specific month or month range). And for those who have already ordered but are awaiting next steps they would get an estimate timeframe for when their order will be ready for delivery.

Maybe Rivian has improved their ability to estimate and provide timelines this time around to a larger audience, or maybe since they are still ramping a single production line and only plan to make ~25k R2 vehicles this year they will stick to the above and expand on it after the new year.

Either way we will all find out tomorrow.

 

[RayoRiv]

Ok mister legal eagle, at least we will get an invite to order and get a delivery date. It's either that or Rivian's roll out of the R2 is FoS.

You don't have to be a legal eagle to read and understand the email that Rivian sent out. They said by the end of June everyone with reservations would receive an email that let's them know when they can expect to receive their order invite. For instance, I am expecting my order invite to be late this year (maybe November or something along those lines) since I didn't make my reservation until March of this year. Tomorrow we are supposed to find that out.

 

[tivoboy]

I did a quick analysis of the R2 tracker data so far, looking only at rows where a VIN has been assigned. A few interesting patterns are starting to show up.

Big caveat: this is a small, self-reported sample, so I would not treat it as definitive. But there are some clear early signals.

1. Color seems to matter more than expected

Once you remove the obvious constants, since all early builds are Performance Launch Package with Black Crater interior, color is one of the biggest differences.

Among VIN-assigned orders, Half Moon Grey and Glacier White appear to be heavily overrepresented compared with other colors.

Approximate VIN assignment rate by color in the tracker:

• Half Moon Grey: 15 VINs out of 19 entries, about 79%
• Glacier White: 9 out of 12, about 75%
• Catalina Cove: 8 out of 46, about 17%
• Launch Green: 4 out of 36, about 11%
• Esker Silver: 0 out of 12
• Midnight: 1 out of 3

The biggest takeaway here is that Half Moon Grey and Glacier White look like they are moving first. Launch Green appears popular, but not many VINs have been assigned yet in the tracker.

2. Location/logistics appear to matter

VINs are not spread evenly across the country. California has the biggest cluster, with 8 VINs assigned. Missouri also stands out with 4 VINs assigned, which is interesting given its relative proximity to Normal, Illinois.

That makes it look like Rivian may be batching vehicles by transport lane or delivery-center readiness, rather than going strictly by reservation date.

PA does have VINs assigned, so the Mid-Atlantic is not being ignored. But PA/NJ does not look like as large of an early cluster as California or some closer Midwest markets.

3. Order date seems more important than original reservation date, but neither is everything

A lot of the VIN-assigned orders came from people who ordered around June 16 and June 17. Many were also March 7, 2024 reservation holders, but not all.

There are later reservation holders with VINs too, which suggests this is not strictly first-reserved, first-built. Configuration, location, delivery center, and transport batching all seem to be factors.

4. Purchase orders seem to be moving faster than leases

Among the VIN-assigned rows, purchases are heavily represented. The tracker shows roughly 35 purchase orders with VINs versus only 2 leases.

That could simply reflect the sample, but it may also mean purchase orders are cleaner or easier to process in the first wave.

5. R1 ownership does not look like a major deciding factor

The VIN-assigned rows are pretty evenly split between current R1 owners and non-R1 owners. So far, the data does not suggest that current R1 owners are being massively prioritized.

My overall read

The R2 rollout does not look purely reservation-date driven. It looks more like Rivian is assigning VINs based on a combination of:

• Buildable color/configuration batches
• Delivery-center readiness
• Transport/logistics efficiency
• Purchase vs lease processing
• Reservation/order timing

The biggest pattern so far is color. Half Moon Grey and Glacier White seem to be getting pulled forward, while Launch Green, Catalina Cove, and Esker Silver appear slower based on the current tracker data.

Again, this is all based on a small self-reported sample, so it could change quickly as more people update the sheet. But at this stage, those are the biggest patterns I’m seeing.

Nice consolidated analysis!. gold star!

The color VIN assignments make sense, not necessarily the color choice (although there is some logic there) but the clustering.. as paint shops don’t like to switch over, so they pool up for painting as many parts and skins as possible before switching over. White is usually the easiest color, followed by grey or silver depending on mix’ins.

And the purchase vs. lease makes sense as well as the company would certainly like a full cash money payment rather than having to tap into their own or finance partners capital pool. Even if it’s factored out, it’s not cash flow to the income statement (for end of quarter 2, 2026) unless the finance offloading has occurred. They are going to sell AND lease a ton of these cars in the next 12 months, keeping powder dry is good fiscal management.

CA, WA, OR do seem to be getting the lions share though, not unexpected.

 

[dduffey]

Curious, how long from getting the Vin assigned to getting an email to schedule delivery?

Probably quite variable depending on factors like SC readiness, etc. It has been 13 days for me for a low VIN fully paid/steps completed under 800 and still can't select a delivery date. It seems like some people get an invite to schedule future delivery almost immediately.

But it's R2 Tuesday, so there is hope!

 

[NCSwa]

I did a quick analysis of the R2 tracker data so far, looking only at rows where a VIN has been assigned. A few interesting patterns are starting to show up.

Big caveat: this is a small, self-reported sample, so I would not treat it as definitive. But there are some clear early signals.

1. Color seems to matter more than expected

Once you remove the obvious constants, since all early builds are Performance Launch Package with Black Crater interior, color is one of the biggest differences.

Among VIN-assigned orders, Half Moon Grey and Glacier White appear to be heavily overrepresented compared with other colors.

Approximate VIN assignment rate by color in the tracker:

• Half Moon Grey: 15 VINs out of 19 entries, about 79%
• Glacier White: 9 out of 12, about 75%
• Catalina Cove: 8 out of 46, about 17%
• Launch Green: 4 out of 36, about 11%
• Esker Silver: 0 out of 12
• Midnight: 1 out of 3

The biggest takeaway here is that Half Moon Grey and Glacier White look like they are moving first. Launch Green appears popular, but not many VINs have been assigned yet in the tracker.

2. Location/logistics appear to matter

VINs are not spread evenly across the country. California has the biggest cluster, with 8 VINs assigned. Missouri also stands out with 4 VINs assigned, which is interesting given its relative proximity to Normal, Illinois.

That makes it look like Rivian may be batching vehicles by transport lane or delivery-center readiness, rather than going strictly by reservation date.

PA does have VINs assigned, so the Mid-Atlantic is not being ignored. But PA/NJ does not look like as large of an early cluster as California or some closer Midwest markets.

3. Order date seems more important than original reservation date, but neither is everything

A lot of the VIN-assigned orders came from people who ordered around June 16 and June 17. Many were also March 7, 2024 reservation holders, but not all.

There are later reservation holders with VINs too, which suggests this is not strictly first-reserved, first-built. Configuration, location, delivery center, and transport batching all seem to be factors.

4. Purchase orders seem to be moving faster than leases

Among the VIN-assigned rows, purchases are heavily represented. The tracker shows roughly 35 purchase orders with VINs versus only 2 leases.

That could simply reflect the sample, but it may also mean purchase orders are cleaner or easier to process in the first wave.

5. R1 ownership does not look like a major deciding factor

The VIN-assigned rows are pretty evenly split between current R1 owners and non-R1 owners. So far, the data does not suggest that current R1 owners are being massively prioritized.

My overall read

The R2 rollout does not look purely reservation-date driven. It looks more like Rivian is assigning VINs based on a combination of:

• Buildable color/configuration batches
• Delivery-center readiness
• Transport/logistics efficiency
• Purchase vs lease processing
• Reservation/order timing

The biggest pattern so far is color. Half Moon Grey and Glacier White seem to be getting pulled forward, while Launch Green, Catalina Cove, and Esker Silver appear slower based on the current tracker data.

Again, this is all based on a small self-reported sample, so it could change quickly as more people update the sheet. But at this stage, those are the biggest patterns I’m seeing.

In almost all of the Videos and Images Rivian released on like IG or wherever, it seems like the first run of R2's were CC/HMG/GW all lined up in like order. The fact that like 40% of the people want CC, it is probably skewing the VIN number % a bit, and the fact that the HMG and GW only be around 10%, but maybe the same Number have been built, the HMG and GW VIN's are filling up quicker. Just my thoughts.. Also I think lease ending is a HUGE decider in Order E-Mail - I have an R1T ending in August, and was told pretty early, they would make it work for me. Also seems like people with Tesla Leases ending are getting the Order Invite.. It is sort of Odd on the Purchase vs Lease angle, since you don't even decide that until after the Order is placed. I had my VIN before I even selected what sort of Financing I was going with.

 

[NCSwa]

What's surprising is that the order of what is being delivered is backwards compared to popularity.

I think they are just setting up Deliveries for what they have already made, and in most Images I have seen from Rivian, they started with HMG/GW/CC I don't believe anything is being built specifically for a customer yet. Chris Hilbe on X looked like he was at the plant yesterday and you can see in parking lot shot, they are still sort of lined up like that a HMG one, GW one, CC one in order..

And I so love the fact that I went with GW, which is now like the least popular outside of Midnight, which I have on my current R1T and really like. I was torn between HMG and GW, but once I got to see the GW in person, it really brings out the Body Lines so nicely, you can see all the shapes on the car IMO, the HMG blends to closely with the trim and the rear window and trim. I also hate seeing my exact car everywhere else.

 

[ABFEVTX]

I think they are just setting up Deliveries for what they have already made, and in most Images I have seen from Rivian, they started with HMG/GW/CC I don't believe anything is being built specifically for a customer yet. Chris Hilbe on X looked like he was at the plant yesterday and you can see in parking lot shot, they are still sort of lined up like that a HMG one, GW one, CC one in order..

Doesn’t it seem odd for such a tech heavy company they are not leveraging more nuanced date with their list? They could have surveyed reservation holders in April/May with more specific questions including cash purchase vs finance vs lease, colors, wheels, etc. Also seems like a missed opportunity to speed things up- ie- run only Catalina Cove so it encourages more paint upgrades. I dunno, from the outside looking in it seems like unorganized but I guess they have a system.

ps- adding to my confusion is that I got a Feb. 26’ reservation actioned into an invite but my day 1 reservation neighbor (on the same block) Is still waiting!

 

[NCSwa]

Doesn’t it seem odd for such a tech heavy company they are not leveraging more nuanced date with their list? They could have surveyed reservation holders in April/May with more specific questions including cash purchase vs finance vs lease, colors, wheels, etc. Also seems like a missed opportunity to speed things up- ie- run only Catalina Cove so it encourages more paint upgrades. I dunno, from the outside looking in it seems like unorganized but I guess they have a system.

ps- adding to my confusion is that I got a Feb. 26’ reservation actioned into an invite but my day 1 reservation neighbor (on the same block) Is still waiting!

I know they did say they wanted to open it up for some non first day people? All of those colors I mentioned are Paid upgrades, I have not heard of anyone taking delivery of Esker Silver yet, the free color, I would be surprised if they have even run any Esker through the paint booth, other than those that were toured around and such..

 

[AZMeister]

Has anyone gotten VINs today?

 

[zmayer]

Got my invite to order this morning and just submitted the form!

 

[Jeff_in_SF]

Just logged into my account on the Rivian site and they have an order estimate, even though I haven't received an email yet - unfortunately it's not going to be for a while. I reserved April 11, 2024 but not current Rivian owner.

I have a refundable $1,000 down on an iX3 that is supposed to hit production in Sept, so I will probably not get the R2 now and maybe wait for the refreshed model to see how the teething issues go. My main goal was to ditch my Land Rover ASAP so the iX3 will do that and is a great car, but I really was hoping for the R2.

 

[tivoboy]

Just logged into my account on the Rivian site and they have an order estimate, even though I haven't received an email yet - unfortunately it's not going to be for a while. I reserved April 11, 2024 but not current Rivian owner.

I have a refundable $1,000 down on an iX3 that is supposed to hit production in Sept, so I will probably not get the R2 now and maybe wait for the refreshed model to see how the teething issues go. My main goal was to ditch my Land Rover ASAP so the iX3 will do that and is a great car, but I really was hoping for the R2.

Good TIP!.. straight to the source.

I just logged in and it says “you’ll be able to order August-September, 2026” No email yet, getting even the 2FA took 5 minutes.

First day reservation holder, not current owner, near SC, reserved day 1, hour 1, minute 13. Go figure.

 

[KCP]

Has anyone gotten VINs today?

I received my VIN today (01888) at 11:35a est. Order placed on 6/17, Launch Green. I’m in Delaware.

 

[AZMeister]

I received my VIN today (01888) at 11:35a est. Order placed on 6/17, Launch Green. I’m in Delaware.

Thanks for the heads up! I ordered 06/16, Catalina Cove in AZ.

The anticipation is killing me!

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