Sponsored

Electric Rivilution

Well-Known Member
First Name
Bill
Joined
Mar 5, 2019
Threads
324
Messages
505
Reaction score
2,478
Location
Scottsdale
Vehicles
2016 Model X / 2022 R1T
Latest Rivian stats just released:

13,201 delivered
in Q3 2025
10,720 produced in Q3 2025

New 2025 total delivery guidance: 41,500 (from earlier 43,500)
New 2025 total production guidance: 40,000 (from earlier 46,000)

* Note: the Normal plant has been paused for production since September 15th as it retools for R2 production

155,455 total deliveries to date (since 2021 start of production)
163,370 total produced to date (since 2021 start of production)
Sponsored

 

Hereforthesnacks

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jun 6, 2024
Threads
3
Messages
1,237
Reaction score
1,461
Location
West Coast
Vehicles
Ford Bronco
Rough…. R2 pricing could not be more critical. Needs to end up at $40k. Else, we have a problem Houston.
 

BigSkies

Well-Known Member
First Name
Brian
Joined
Sep 4, 2021
Threads
17
Messages
1,232
Reaction score
2,649
Location
Denver
Vehicles
R1T, Model Y
Clubs
 
That leaves ~10k deliveries in Q4 to hit guidance. That feels a little aggressive knowing that Amazon doesn't take many deliveries in Q4 and a lot of demand got pulled forward from the tax cuts.

Rivian really got hosed by the Big Billionaire Bill this year.

A successful R2 launch is what really matters though. That's what they really need to get right.
 

VandalSibs

Well-Known Member
First Name
Andrew
Joined
Dec 27, 2023
Threads
15
Messages
1,381
Reaction score
2,399
Location
Eastern Washington State
Website
www.sibulskymusic.com
Vehicles
R1T Dual Motor Large Pack
Occupation
Composer, IT Service Desk Analyst
Clubs
 
Rough…. R2 pricing could not be more critical. Needs to end up at $40k. Else, we have a problem Houston.
I'd be surprised if they had the starting price any lower than $45k. Heck, that's below the average new car selling price right now. Vehicles that are starting lower have either simpler interiors, or ones with crappier materials.

From everything they have showed about the R2, $45k starting is quite a good (and reasonable!) price.
 

Yota2R1T

Well-Known Member
First Name
Rich
Joined
Nov 21, 2022
Threads
7
Messages
209
Reaction score
246
Location
Calgary, Canada
Vehicles
Blue 2024 R1T, Large-DM, 21", OC int.
Occupation
Solar PV professional
Clubs
 
It seems likely they won't launch with $45k price model. But hopefully they start taking orders for the base model and follow through.
Keep forging ahead Rivian!!
 

Sponsored

iansriv

Well-Known Member
Joined
Feb 12, 2022
Threads
20
Messages
2,795
Reaction score
3,808
Location
US
Vehicles
R1S
I'd be surprised if they had the starting price any lower than $45k. Heck, that's below the average new car selling price right now. Vehicles that are starting lower have either simpler interiors, or ones with crappier materials.

From everything they have showed about the R2, $45k starting is quite a good (and reasonable!) price.
Agreed. I like simple but, I'm also a fan of the old style LR Def.
 

CharonPDX

Well-Known Member
First Name
Charon
Joined
Jul 12, 2021
Threads
31
Messages
2,498
Reaction score
4,171
Location
Cascadia
Vehicles
'22 R1T LE, '16 Model S, '19 Arcimoto FUV
Occupation
InfoSec Geek
Clubs
 
Rough…. R2 pricing could not be more critical. Needs to end up at $40k. Else, we have a problem Houston.
Needs to end up at $40k…. and be profitable to Rivian at that price.

If it's too expensive, people won't buy it. If it's not profitable on a per-unit basis for Rivian to sell (the way R1s were until Gen 2 was in full steam) then it will actually make things worse for Rivian rather than better.
 

Oldsmobile_Mike

Well-Known Member
First Name
Mike
Joined
Mar 24, 2022
Threads
62
Messages
2,411
Reaction score
3,885
Location
Manassas Park, VA
Vehicles
FG/FE R1T recv'd 3/31/2023
Occupation
I build stuff
Clubs
 
So, we're at 32,502 delivered so far for the year? Need to do 7,500 in Q4 to hit 40k. I think the delivery guidance 41.5k is high. Should've shot for 40, that might be doable with all the new showrooms & popups they're bringing around, and the lease deals.

In this fubar economy, anything more than 40 is nuts. 😭
 

UnsungZero_OldTimeAdMan

Well-Known Member
First Name
Barnum
Joined
Mar 20, 2023
Threads
66
Messages
8,564
Reaction score
11,759
Location
SoCal
Vehicles
'23 GW Quad-Large R1T "Ghost"
Occupation
Advertising Circus
So, we're at 32,502 delivered so far for the year? Need to do 7,500 in Q4 to hit 40k. I think the delivery guidance 41.5k is high. Should've shot for 40, that might be doable with all the new showrooms & popups they're bringing around, and the lease deals.

In this fubar economy, anything more than 40 is nuts. 😭
But “yipee” the interest rate is coming down. /s
 

Sponsored

BigSkies

Well-Known Member
First Name
Brian
Joined
Sep 4, 2021
Threads
17
Messages
1,232
Reaction score
2,649
Location
Denver
Vehicles
R1T, Model Y
Clubs
 
So, we're at 32,502 delivered so far for the year? Need to do 7,500 in Q4 to hit 40k. I think the delivery guidance 41.5k is high. Should've shot for 40, that might be doable with all the new showrooms & popups they're bringing around, and the lease deals.

In this fubar economy, anything more than 40 is nuts. 😭
I agree it feels aggressive. However, I have faith they’ll get pretty close to 41.5k based on my career in corporate forecasting.

Reasons:

1. They probably already have a good idea on how October deliveries are going to line up. The timing between order placed to delivery probably averages on just under a month.
2. They probably already know how many EDV’s will be delivered in the quarter.
3. They likely pulled back on incentives in Q3 as a way to afford increasing them in Q4. I won’t be surprised if they show significantly different margins in Q3 vs Q4.
 

Gen(R3)Xer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Mar 10, 2024
Threads
37
Messages
1,244
Reaction score
1,175
Location
Ohio
Vehicles
Leasing Model 3 until R3X comes out, but now I have an R2 reservation as well.
I'd be surprised if they had the starting price any lower than $45k. Heck, that's below the average new car selling price right now. Vehicles that are starting lower have either simpler interiors, or ones with crappier materials.

From everything they have showed about the R2, $45k starting is quite a good (and reasonable!) price.
They’ll roll those dual and tri motors out first to try to entice early adopters and people with deep pockets. They’ve got to maximize profits to survive.

In a recent interview with RJ they hinted at R2s being configured at $60K. RJ said he wishes, which makes me think most will be in the low to mid 50’s.

Later down the road the single motor with 270 miles of range will come out at $45K.
 

VandalSibs

Well-Known Member
First Name
Andrew
Joined
Dec 27, 2023
Threads
15
Messages
1,381
Reaction score
2,399
Location
Eastern Washington State
Website
www.sibulskymusic.com
Vehicles
R1T Dual Motor Large Pack
Occupation
Composer, IT Service Desk Analyst
Clubs
 
They’ll roll those dual and tri motors out first to try to entice early adopters and people with deep pockets. They’ve got to maximize profits to survive.

In a recent interview with RJ they hinted at R2s being configured at $60K. RJ said he wishes, which makes me think most will be in the low to mid 50’s.

Later down the road the single motor with 270 miles of range will come out at $45K.
Pretty standard vehicle sales strategy.
 

Killer95Stang

Well-Known Member
First Name
Dan
Joined
Dec 7, 2021
Threads
68
Messages
1,539
Reaction score
3,046
Location
Sunny Socal
Vehicles
Mustang, Falcon, F150, Flex and Explorer
Occupation
Engineer
Rough…. R2 pricing could not be more critical. Needs to end up at $40k. Else, we have a problem Houston.
The Honda Prologue (Chevy Trailblazer EV) is selling like hotcakes here in CA. That vehicle starts at $42K, so if the Rivian R2 can match the price and be a better vehicle overall, I think we will have a winner.
Sponsored

 
 








Top