Stock price prediction upon release of the R2?

[mkg3]

Most of the pop today is attributed to the AI Day in December. Many hoping that Rivian can be the next Tesla.

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[Zoidz]

There are multiple reasons for Rivian being up today. It's nothing to get overly excited about:
- Quarterly results
- RJ's comments about rare earth sourcing
- Mind Robotics announcement
- AI related stocks up in general today
- VIX is down 8%

It will be flat or down tomorrow, relative to the rest of the market.

 

[Honey]

I realize this is just speculation, but what do you think we'll see happen with Rivian's stock price when the R2 finally goes on sale? The assumption is that it will go up, but how much? Do you think we could possibly see it hit $50? Or is that just not going to happen in 2026 (assuming that the R2 does in fact get released in the first half of the year) and we won't see a big jump in the stock price?

Both Rivian and Lucid are two stocks that I own that have been big losers for the last couple of years and I'm considering dumping them at a loss. My original intention was to buy and hold for the long haul, but I see other opportunities that could be a much better option for me. But if Rivian stock gets a significant bump from the R2, it might be worth holding on to it.

How are you today?

 

[TerryInHouston]

That jump did surprise me - anything jumps that much comes down the next day - hope you made some $ and laid low.

 

[LL75]

sold at 15.70. Will buy back some tomorrow.

 

[s4wrxttcs]

Who the actual f is going on in this thread? Random accounts from non-owners who are doom and gloom.
I believe in the company. The current products are luxury for ppl who can afford it. The future products will be for a lot more folks who enjoy a unique and capable vehicle whether its an EV or not. Its that freaking good.

I believe the company has solid leadership and a good product portfolio.

They offer the most Tesla like experience outside of having a Tesla. They also have a deal with VW that not only benefits them but makes VW vehicles more attractive. I've been following ID Buzz forums for awhile and a lot of the complaints are for things Rivian already does well.

As an owner I'm sticking with Rivian or Rivian SW in VW/Scout.

As an investor I don't see a huge upside and a lot of potential downside in Rivian stock.

Looking over the YTD its like a heart rhythm. Buy at 12 and sell at 16.

The OP was wondering if there was potential for $50 in 2026 and I simply don't see it that being a possibility.

 

[s4wrxttcs]

sold at 15.70. Will buy back some tomorrow.

Have you been doing that all year?

It's almost like clock work.

 

[VandalSibs]

The OP was wondering if there was potential for $50 in 2026 and I simply don't see it that being a possibility.

It's almost like the stock is behaving like an actual car company, and not some BS-stuffed, meme-stock joke of a company.

Point of comparison: Rivian is currently trading higher than Ford.

 

[Hereforthesnacks]

Have you been doing that all year?

It's almost like clock work.

This is exactly right. The buy at 11-12 and sell at 14-15 thesis has been a lucrative one.

 

[Hereforthesnacks]

My average cost is $9.20 so can't complain but even then have been thinking of getting out. Though if it goes down further after the earnings call, I've probably missed that boat.

How do you have an avg price of $9.20? I think it only traded around there for 4-5 days all time?

 

[LL75]

Did that the last time as well. For sure I'm not making any money off this stock. Original stock holders that's still have it !!!

 

[M3_R2]

How do you have an avg price of $9.20? I think it only traded around there for 4-5 days all time?

IIRC, I was thinking of getting in due to having a reservation and with the factory shut down it seemed that would be a low point so just monitored and bought with a now or never mentality. My last buy was at $8.54. I think it was the 11th to the 15th. One was around $9.20 and another (1st one) was at $9.55 (different amounts).

My hope was that by 2027, the price would be up to at least $40 and I would use that to buy an R2. I'll be surprised if it hits that but it's just more fun having some skin in the game. Not a big trader.

We'll have to see how tariffs play out though. If they are still in play, I'll have to see what's available that's tariff free or just try to wait it out.

 

[Hereforthesnacks]

IIRC, I was thinking of getting in due to having a reservation and with the factory shut down it seemed that would be a low point so just monitored and bought with a now or never mentality. My last buy was at $8.54. I think it was the 11th to the 15th. One was around $9.20 and another (1st one) was at $9.55 (different amounts).

My hope was that by 2027, the price would be up to at least $40 and I would use that to buy an R2. I'll be surprised if it hits that but it's just more fun having some skin in the game. Not a big trader.

We'll have to see how tariffs play out though. If they are still in play, I'll have to see what's available that's tariff free or just try to wait it out.

Getting an avg entry of that price is mind blowing. I thought I was good lol.

Well done.

 

[Christopher1000]

For has been around the same stock price since the George Bush Great Recession (why do we always have these when Republicans are in office?) so I doubt rivian will ever be above $50 or even $20 again. They need major sales and that's not happening now and will not happen next year with the ultra high inflation and layoffs and tariffs

 

[Redline]

For has been around the same stock price since the George Bush Great Recession (why do we always have these when Republicans are in office?) so I doubt rivian will ever be above $50 or even $20 again. They need major sales and that's not happening now and will not happen next year with the ultra high inflation and layoffs and tariffs

Wanna bet?

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