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Solid-state battery race accelerates

mkg3

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From Automotive News Europe:

https://www.autonews.com/ev/ane-ev-solid-state-batteries-factorial-0210/

By Lois Jones
February 10, 2026 05:37 AM EST
The solid-state battery race is intensifying as two key players reached big milestones as the industry sprints toward commercial launch.

On Feb 4, Volkswagen Group-backed QuantumScape inaugurated the Eagle Line, a highly automated pilot production facility in San Jose, Calif.

A day later, Karma Automotive revealed an agreement with Factorial Energy to launch the first U.S. solid-state battery production program for passenger vehicles. The battery will debut in the full-electric Karma Kaveya super coupe scheduled to arrive in late 2027.

Factorial, a U.S. startup, has a wide range of partners, including Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis and Hyundai/Kia, alongside its production deal with Karma.

In September, Mercedes, which has invested “high double-digit millions” in Factorial, announced that a modified EQS test vehicle, with lithium metal solid-state batteries, had completed a 1,205 km (749 mile) journey from Stuttgart to Malmo, Sweden, on a single charge.

Factorial aims to start mass production of its battery cells as soon as 2029, CEO Siyu Huang has said.

Rivian R1T R1S Solid-state battery race accelerates 7XERJJ2CORB4BJ4PN5HHG37UVA


Stellantis will launch a demonstration fleet of Dodge Charger Daytonas powered by Factorial’s solid-state batteries in 2026. (FACTORIAL ENERGY) Where automakers stand
Several automakers have targeted 2027 as the year they will start equipping their production vehicles with solid-state batteries. Some are tentatively deploying semi-solid or “quasi-solid” batteries first, which are easier to manufacture and act as a bridge to full solid-state technology. These include Chinese automakers SAIC Motor and Nio.

Others are moving straight ahead.
  • Stellantis this year will launch a demonstration fleet of vehicles with Factorial’s solid-state batteries.
  • Chery Automobile plans to begin pilot testing and vehicle verification this year.
  • Toyota plans to launch its first EVs with solid-state batteries between 2027 and 2028.
  • BYD will begin serial production for its premium models in 2027 with mass-market availability across its broader vehicle lineup set for 2030.
  • Nissan is building a pilot production plant in Yokohama for a 2028 commercial launch.
  • Honda is focusing on a dedicated demonstration line for the late 2020s.
  • BMW has been conducting real-world road tests with 17 prototypes and targets a commercial introduction in the early 2030s.
Rivian R1T R1S Solid-state battery race accelerates I7VMRHCYWRBYLF4QF55GNN3OME


Mercedes said solid-state battery packs are thinner and lighter, and offer better energy density, and thus longer range. (MERCEDES-BENZ)
“This means there is now an ‘arms race’ to see who gets SSBs to market the fastest and most successfully,” Gartner Vice President of Research Pedro Pacheco told Automotive News Europe.

But being first isn’t all that counts, Pacheco said. “Even the first movers should only sell limited volumes of SSBs this decade due to the high costs and limitations in production ramp-up. Only at the beginning of the next decade should we see the first automakers achieving higher production volumes of SSBs. Manufacturing technology and economies of scale will be crucial in bringing down the cost.”

High density but expensive
Industry analysts expect limited initial volumes — around 50,000 vehicles per large automaker before 2030 — because of these high production costs. This positions early solid-state batteries in premium and luxury segments while manufacturers work toward economies of scale.

Other weak points include charging and durability (the number of cycles). Finding stable and efficient solid electrolyte materials remains another big challenge. Ceramics and perovskite materials seem to be the most promising for mass production, Robert Fisher, senior consulting manager at SBD Automotive, said in an email.

That said, solid-state batteries offer advantages, including high energy density that should allow some BEVs to reach or even surpass a driving range of 1,000 km under WLTP test standards. “This means you can have a battery in a small city car with high energy density or in a bigger vehicle with major driving range,” Pacheco said.

Solid-state batteries are also safer, as their solid electrolytes are less prone to fires. And they offer more effective cooling performance, faster charging and improved reliability, experts say.

Next milestones to watch
Going forward, silicon anodes might be a less expensive alternative for solid-state battery anodes than lithium iron phosphate. “In the future, silicon anode SSBs may play the same role that LFP does today, providing a lower-cost and more sustainable solution for non-premium vehicles,” Fisher predicted.

Pacheco envisages a future where solid-state batteries take the upper end of the market, lithium batteries move to the mid-range of the market and sodium ion dominates the lower end. The market share for lithium ion batteries with nickel manganese cobalt chemistry, which dominate the BEV market, will progressively shrink. “In five years, we will already be seeing something which is very different from where we are today,” he said.

Fisher could even see liquid electrolyte lithium ion batteries becoming obsolete as solid-state batteries become the standard for automotive batteries.

As more production lines are set up and supply chains mature, prices should begin to fall and demand will increase, Fisher said.

“After 2030, I would expect to see much more mature SSB technology and more appetite from automakers to start integrating SSBs into their high-end lineups. Closer to 2035, I’d expect to see real competition between the ‘wet’ and ‘dry’ cells as traditional cells will no longer be competitive from a range and weight perspective,” he said. “I then expect to see SSBs trickling down from high-end vehicles to mass market as time goes on.”
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daeHelkcunK

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Not to mention that Donut Labs claims could be true. Very exciting times,
 

NY_Rob

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^ the only thing true about Donut is they make claims 😆

BYD has invested the most AFAIK and has the expertise to mass produce SSB like tomorrow if need be.
 

daeHelkcunK

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^ the only thing true about Donut is they make claims 😆

BYD has invested the most AFAIK and has the expertise to mass produce SSB like tomorrow if need be.
The Donut Labs battery apparently doubled the range of the Verge motorcycle. I just have a hard time believing the Donut Lab guys would go through the trouble of renting a display at CES to pull a prank. They already have a respectable product in there hub motor. They weren't looking for investors. Their claim does sound to good to be true, no rare elements, 5 minute charge , 100,000 cycles, no thermal runaway concerns and double current density cheaper than lithium ion. I do love how the Chinese proclaimed it was impossible to do because they couldn't do it with their exponentially larger labor force. We should know in the next few months as they start delivering the motorcycles and the competing manufacturers tear them down.
I'm guessing you to make a statement like you did you must know something that you're not willing to share with us.
 

NY_Rob

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The battery in the Verge bike is still the old (not solid state) tech lithium battery. Wasn't it the Donut guy who claimed to invent a "super AI" that is technologically years ahead of all the big players? That claim never amounted to anything, and even their "Solid State" cells they were showing off at CES were not actual cells at all, they were lookalike plastic shells that were weighted to make it seem like there was something inside, meanwhile claiming their cells were being mass produced at that time? If they were in mass production, couldn't they have brought at least one working actual cell to CES? That's 2 for 2 by my count, I think the CEO is a 100% con man.

Two Bit da Vinci put out a video a couple of days ago where he visited a real lab that has actually been producing "mass production candidates" solid state cells that they intend to license out. When you see how much effort and research went in to cell/chemistry creation you'll likely come to realize that the Donut CEO is a con man.

 
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From Automotive News Europe:

https://www.autonews.com/ev/ane-ev-solid-state-batteries-factorial-0210/

By Lois Jones
February 10, 2026 05:37 AM EST
The solid-state battery race is intensifying as two key players reached big milestones as the industry sprints toward commercial launch.

On Feb 4, Volkswagen Group-backed QuantumScape inaugurated the Eagle Line, a highly automated pilot production facility in San Jose, Calif.

A day later, Karma Automotive revealed an agreement with Factorial Energy to launch the first U.S. solid-state battery production program for passenger vehicles. The battery will debut in the full-electric Karma Kaveya super coupe scheduled to arrive in late 2027.

Factorial, a U.S. startup, has a wide range of partners, including Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis and Hyundai/Kia, alongside its production deal with Karma.

In September, Mercedes, which has invested “high double-digit millions” in Factorial, announced that a modified EQS test vehicle, with lithium metal solid-state batteries, had completed a 1,205 km (749 mile) journey from Stuttgart to Malmo, Sweden, on a single charge.

Factorial aims to start mass production of its battery cells as soon as 2029, CEO Siyu Huang has said.

7XERJJ2CORB4BJ4PN5HHG37UVA.jpg


Stellantis will launch a demonstration fleet of Dodge Charger Daytonas powered by Factorial’s solid-state batteries in 2026. (FACTORIAL ENERGY) Where automakers stand
Several automakers have targeted 2027 as the year they will start equipping their production vehicles with solid-state batteries. Some are tentatively deploying semi-solid or “quasi-solid” batteries first, which are easier to manufacture and act as a bridge to full solid-state technology. These include Chinese automakers SAIC Motor and Nio.

Others are moving straight ahead.
  • Stellantis this year will launch a demonstration fleet of vehicles with Factorial’s solid-state batteries.
  • Chery Automobile plans to begin pilot testing and vehicle verification this year.
  • Toyota plans to launch its first EVs with solid-state batteries between 2027 and 2028.
  • BYD will begin serial production for its premium models in 2027 with mass-market availability across its broader vehicle lineup set for 2030.
  • Nissan is building a pilot production plant in Yokohama for a 2028 commercial launch.
  • Honda is focusing on a dedicated demonstration line for the late 2020s.
  • BMW has been conducting real-world road tests with 17 prototypes and targets a commercial introduction in the early 2030s.
I7VMRHCYWRBYLF4QF55GNN3OME.jpg


Mercedes said solid-state battery packs are thinner and lighter, and offer better energy density, and thus longer range. (MERCEDES-BENZ)
“This means there is now an ‘arms race’ to see who gets SSBs to market the fastest and most successfully,” Gartner Vice President of Research Pedro Pacheco told Automotive News Europe.

But being first isn’t all that counts, Pacheco said. “Even the first movers should only sell limited volumes of SSBs this decade due to the high costs and limitations in production ramp-up. Only at the beginning of the next decade should we see the first automakers achieving higher production volumes of SSBs. Manufacturing technology and economies of scale will be crucial in bringing down the cost.”

High density but expensive
Industry analysts expect limited initial volumes — around 50,000 vehicles per large automaker before 2030 — because of these high production costs. This positions early solid-state batteries in premium and luxury segments while manufacturers work toward economies of scale.

Other weak points include charging and durability (the number of cycles). Finding stable and efficient solid electrolyte materials remains another big challenge. Ceramics and perovskite materials seem to be the most promising for mass production, Robert Fisher, senior consulting manager at SBD Automotive, said in an email.

That said, solid-state batteries offer advantages, including high energy density that should allow some BEVs to reach or even surpass a driving range of 1,000 km under WLTP test standards. “This means you can have a battery in a small city car with high energy density or in a bigger vehicle with major driving range,” Pacheco said.

Solid-state batteries are also safer, as their solid electrolytes are less prone to fires. And they offer more effective cooling performance, faster charging and improved reliability, experts say.

Next milestones to watch
Going forward, silicon anodes might be a less expensive alternative for solid-state battery anodes than lithium iron phosphate. “In the future, silicon anode SSBs may play the same role that LFP does today, providing a lower-cost and more sustainable solution for non-premium vehicles,” Fisher predicted.

Pacheco envisages a future where solid-state batteries take the upper end of the market, lithium batteries move to the mid-range of the market and sodium ion dominates the lower end. The market share for lithium ion batteries with nickel manganese cobalt chemistry, which dominate the BEV market, will progressively shrink. “In five years, we will already be seeing something which is very different from where we are today,” he said.

Fisher could even see liquid electrolyte lithium ion batteries becoming obsolete as solid-state batteries become the standard for automotive batteries.

As more production lines are set up and supply chains mature, prices should begin to fall and demand will increase, Fisher said.

“After 2030, I would expect to see much more mature SSB technology and more appetite from automakers to start integrating SSBs into their high-end lineups. Closer to 2035, I’d expect to see real competition between the ‘wet’ and ‘dry’ cells as traditional cells will no longer be competitive from a range and weight perspective,” he said. “I then expect to see SSBs trickling down from high-end vehicles to mass market as time goes on.”
This is awesome news. The future of EVs is looking brighter and brighter. ✹

One thing is for sure, battery chemistries and other technologies like capacitors and more efficient motors will continue to improve. Exciting times indeed!
 

godfodder0901

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The battery in the Verge bike is still the old (not solid state) tech lithium battery. Wasn't it the Donut guy who claimed to invent a "super AI" that is technologically years ahead of all the big players? That claim never amounted to anything, and even their "Solid State" cells they were showing off at CES were not actual cells at all, they were lookalike plastic shells that were weighted to make it seem like there was something inside, meanwhile claiming their cells were being mass produced at that time? If they were in mass production, couldn't they have brought at least one working actual cell to CES? That's 2 for 2 by my count, I think the CEO is a 100% con man.

Two Bit da Vinci put out a video a couple of days ago where he visited a real lab that has actually been producing "mass production candidates" solid state cells that they intend to license out. When you see how much effort and research went in to cell/chemistry creation you'll likely come to realize that the Donut CEO is a con man.

That was before the Donut announcement. All undelivered Verge motorcycles will be converted to solid state. Or so they say...
 

SANZC02

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Sounds like as people have been saying for years, probably won’t be until the mid 2030s before these will be considered standard products and will remain a niche product for at least the next 4-7 years.

It is really good to see they are making progress on the technology. It really could be the thing that makes an EV competitive to ICE in true range and refueling times.
 

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That was before the Donut announcement. All undelivered Verge motorcycles will be converted to solid state. Or so they say...
I think they also mentioned it would go on sale in Q1 of 2026, so they have until the end of March to deliver. Seems strange if they’d lie about something like that. What good would that do their company? They would have technically committed fraud. I guess we’ll see.
 
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I hope y'all are right and I'm wrong about Donut Labs, but I get a serious George Santos vibe from the Donut CEO.
 

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BYD has invested the most AFAIK and has the expertise to mass produce SSB like tomorrow if need be.
Yep.

And all of them will burn down your house.
 

mkhuffman

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I hope y'all are right and I'm wrong about Donut Labs, but I get a serious George Santos vibe from the Donut CEO.
You are correct. Donut is a con. 100%.
 

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